Worthless NFL trends.

[BigLouReturns]

Saw this in a post in the NFL forum.

"THE PANTHERS ARE AN INCREDIBLE 7-0 ATS in their last seven Road Games dating back to last season and although they have a very shady history of being a Favorite on the road and most of those spread covers came as a Road Underdog, they have played well enough to warrant such a high number."

Six of those seven games they were underdogs. The one game they were favored it was by one point. And all those games were with Teddy Bridgewater at QB. Tell me how that trend has any bearing on this game.

BL

 

[savage1]

What I have observed since monitoring services since they began in the mid to late 70s' is that SOME services(not all) decide what their pick is going to be

FIRST based on their own hunch and bias, and then go back and find selective trends and angles to back it up but leaving

out any trends or angles which don't support/go against the pick.

 

[BigLouReturns]

What I have observed since monitoring services since they began in the mid to late 70s' is that SOME services(not all) decide what their pick is going to be

FIRST based on their own hunch and bias, and then go back and find selective trends and angles to back it up but leaving

out any trends or angles which don't support/go against the pick.

Couldn't agree more.

 

[Coaster]

What I have observed since monitoring services since they began in the mid to late 70s' is that SOME services(not all) decide what their pick is going to be

FIRST based on their own hunch and bias, and then go back and find selective trends and angles to back it up but leaving

out any trends or angles which don't support/go against the pick.

Totally!

 

[savage1]

Couldn't agree more.

It is essentially no different with some sports services which have multiple types of picks and clubs.

When it comes to bragging about their record, they simply talk about the ones which have shown a profit, and even then choose only the

selective time frames when make them look better than they really are if other time frames were chosen.

Wake me up if any sports service ever uses a LOSS for the first game of a winning streak. lol

ps Why do you think Northcoast Sports has survived for so long!!!

 

[SunDodger]

What I have observed since monitoring services since they began in the mid to late 70s' is that SOME services(not all) decide what their pick is going to be

FIRST based on their own hunch and bias, and then go back and find selective trends and angles to back it up but leaving

out any trends or angles which don't support/go against the pick.

Agreed. This is what appears to be happening here. Long write-ups, with the majority of games that are posted last minute. His picks are decided way before that. !/

How many sets of power ratings does he have, anyway?

He should've gone tout to start this NFL season after last years run. )^&&

 

[savage1]

Agreed. This is what appears to be happening here. Long write-ups, with the majority of games that are posted last minute. His picks are decided way before that. !/

How many sets of power ratings does he have, anyway?

He should've gone tout to start this NFL season after last years run. )^&&

Imo one of the big reasons that Phil Steele/NC lose year after year as documented by yours truly is that Phil is way too busy trying to impress people by getting

every possible stat, trend and angle he can find on every player on every team in both the colleges and pros.

For me this is overkill meaning that he can see the trees but not the forest in the games at hand, and thus not able to transform his overall knowledge into picking

winners on any kind of consistent basis.

Steele brags about his 100 hour weeks-good for him!! lol

I assure you that the services which are consistent year after year spend a tiny fraction of that time and instead rely on the stuff which really matters

on the games at hand including intangibles and just an overall intuitive sense based on what has been happening on the

field THIS season rather a lot of useless and irrelevant drivel that Phil Steele and NC use which many times includes

worthless garbage from seasons 10 years ago or sometimes even more!!

And yet there are some naive folks out there who buy into it!!

 

[BigLouReturns]

2021 NFL Football System


Week 1

Dallas +9.5
NY Jets +3.5
Arizona +3
LA Chargers +2.5
Cincinnati +3
Atlanta -3.5
Seattle -3
Cleveland +5.5
NY Giants +3
Green Bay -3.5
LA Rams -9.5 (not posted but part of system so keeping for tracking)
Baltimore -3.5

Counting a winner that was not posted. Bush league.

 

[exploited17]

So much complaining from a guy that never posts picks and posts mostly irrelevant "interesting team facts" lol

 

[BigLouReturns]

So much complaining from a guy that never posts picks and posts mostly irrelevant "interesting team facts" lol

They seem irrelevant because you're not smart enough to interpret their meaning swifty.

 

[exploited17]

keep avoiding you lack of picks bud
Only posted picks mean something

I am sure the fact that Brady and the Pats were great at home and with Newton with a messed up arm and a rookie they may not be as good is something only a genius could figure out. Thanks for that info

 

[BigLouReturns]

keep avoiding you lack of picks bud
Only posted picks mean something

I am sure the fact that Brady and the Pats were great at home and with Newton with a messed up arm and a rookie they may not be as good is something only a genius could figure out. Thanks for that info

It's funny that you respond to the name swifty.Loser!@#0

 

[BigLouReturns]

Two quotes from MistaFlava's week one writeup regarding the Jets/Panthers matchuo - "Jets QB Zach Wilson has apparently had a great camp and is ready to lead this team to glory with Robert Saleh as the new head coach." Nothing more than opinion yet he uses "systems" for his picks.

"As I'm typing this I just read that Panthers starting QB Sam Darnold is the worst in the NFL, out of all current starting quaterbacks, when it comes to his record on the spread. And he's playing his old team."

Why didn't he mention that in week three when he took the Panthers?

 

[BigLouReturns]

This is from his week one writeup regarding the Giants/Broncos matchup - "It has nothing to do with it but I did enter a value for "9/11 emotional aspect" to this game and that figured into the calculations."

:think2:

 

[BigLouReturns]

This is from his Seahawks/Vikings writeup:

They are now 1-6 ATS in their last seven games versus NFC Conference opponents and 1-8 ATS in their last nine games overall dating back to last season. The Vikings have dropped four straight spreads at home and are 0-4 ATS in their last four games coming off a game where they allowed 30+ points in their previous game.

He always assume the trend is not going to change.

 

[BigLouReturns]

MistaFlava's 2021 NFL Football Record: 13-13 ATS (-13.00 Units)

I got so many messages of encouragement from TheRx Community asking that I continue posting "System Plays" and "Suggested Lines" and let the averages average themselves out so I will do. No tracking for the last week or two as I have made a few changes but basically we are back to where things started in Week 6 of the Regular Season last year and using the exact same formulas and variables. Just a refresher on last year!

This guy keeps posting what he did last year. Welcome to this year.

 

[skoda]

Parlay Trends...... play the favorite and under or like the dog play the over! MNF..... Like the Raiders parlay over with. Like the Chargers parlay under.1-2 so far

 

[BigLouReturns]

It's four weeks into the season and Mistaflava has already pretty much thrown in the towel.

 

[BigLouReturns]

week 5

LA RAMS(2.5) at SEATTLE 54.5...
la 2-13 under as road favs of more than 2pts s 18
sea 18-2-2 ats as a dog off a su win s 11
series..home team covered 15 of last 22 s 10
..........home dogs are 8-1 ats s 10
..........the dog covered 14 of last 22 s 10
..........october dogs are 9-1 ats s 04
**divisional games played on thursday are 2-15 under if total is 51+pts s 17
**teams off a su loss of 15+pts as a home fav are 2-16 under s 14

Does this kind of trend information actually work for you? Nothing there takes into account the actual matchup of last night's game.

Waiting to hear back from GAME on this one.

 

[BigLouReturns]

Flava is tanking.